Dollar Softens a Little as Market Awaits Developments

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The US dollar is slightly softer against most of the major currencies but is in narrow ranges ahead of today’s key events, which include US retail sales and the debate in the UK parliament over Brexit.  The yen is the main exception.  The local markets are closed for a public holiday, and the yen did initially strengthen (the dollar eased to ~JPY112.10) but surrendered those gains and consolidating its biggest loss last week in 10 months.  

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Possibility of a Soft Brexit Excites Sterling (too Early?)

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After a little wobble, sterling has responded favorably to the resignation of the UK Brexit team led by David Davis.  The idea is that a path to a softer Brexit is good for sterling.  In fairness, it is a bit early to reach this conclusion, and the softer dollar tone puts wind in sterling’s sale.  There is a GBP244 mln sterling option at $1.3375 that expires today.   The June highs were set in the $1.3450-$1.3470 area.

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